Enter your original spread and odds. Slide to an alternate line.
Your starting line
EDITABLE
TRY A LINE
−24.5 · lay more0 / ML+24.5 · take more
ESTIMATED PRICE—At −2.5
LINE MOVEMENT+1 pt
From −3.5
Advanced options
Game assumptions
If your original line is already an alternate, use the game's main spread here.
Main-market prices anchor the model. Defaults assume −110 on both sides.
Historical support—
Price details
Model fair price—
Break-even under these probabilities.
WIN—
PUSH—
LOSS—
The slider preserves the original bet's modeled return per $1 risked: —.
Edit margin probabilities
Each number is your team's final winning or losing margin. Editing one probability rescales the others to keep the total at 100%.
Open probability table
Final team score-margin probabilities
Team's result
Model
Your %
Full alternate-line ladder
Model NFL alternate spread prices
Spread
Price
Push chance
Your settings stay in this browser.
ML is a two-way full-game moneyline, including overtime; a tied game refunds the stake. Prices are model estimates. Moves beyond six points from the main spread are outside the tested range.